基于回归模型的医药大学学报评价指标分析

    The evaluation index analysis of medical university journal based on regression model

    • 摘要:
      目的  通过对科技期刊评价指标进行分析,了解各指标之间的相互影响关系,从而促进期刊有针对性地把握建设方向,提高期刊质量。
      方法  选取近五年医药大学学报为样本,选取《中国科技期刊引证报告(核心版)》的中期刊被引用指标、期刊来源指标和期刊综合评价指标三大类为指标体系,将样本数据进行统计学分析后选取符合正态分布的指标进行相关性分析,并利用逐步回归模型计算出各指标对期刊质量的影响系数。
      结果  核心开放因子、核心引用刊数、核心扩散因子、基金论文比、平均作者数等对期刊综合指标(核心总被引频次、核心影响因子、学科扩散指标、学科影响指标)均呈现显著相关。期刊综合评价指标中核心总被引频次主要受核心开放因子(回归系数-10.68)、核心引用刊数(回归系数5.277)影响;核心影响因子主要受核心即年指标(回归系数1.031)影响;学科扩散指标主要受基金论文比(回归系数0.983)影响。且研究模型中所有指标的VIF值均 < 5,即样本独立、模型较为理想。
      结论  期刊评价不仅与被引用以及影响因子有关,还需要将文章来源各项指标纳入考量。通过对期刊评价指标的分析发现,鼓励论文合作和基金支持、关注文章引文质与量、面向全国拓展优质稿源,对提升医药大学学报综合水平有积极意义。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective  To analyze the evaluation indexes of sci-tech periodicals, understand the interaction among the indexes, so as to promote the periodicals to grasp the direction of construction and improve the quality of periodicals.
      Methods  The journal of medical university in recent five years was selected as the sample, and the three categories of journal citation index, journal source index and journal comprehensive evaluation index of China Science and Technology Journal Citation Report(Core Edition) were selected as the index system.After statistical analysis of the sample data, the indicators consistent with normal distribution were selected for correlation analysis.The influence coefficient of each index on journal quality was calculated by using stepwise regression model.
      Results  The core openness factor, number of core citations, core diffusion factor, ratio of funded papers and average number of authors were significantly correlated with the comprehensive index of periodicals(total core citations frequency, core impact factor, subject diffusion index and subject impact index).The total core citation frequency of the comprehensive evaluation index was mainly affected by the core opening factor(regression coefficient -10.68) and number of core citations(regression coefficient 5.277).The core influence factor was mainly affected by the core immediate year index(regression coefficient 1.031).The subject diffusion index was mainly affected by the ratio of funds to papers(regression coefficient 0.983).The VIF values of all indicators in the research model were < 5, which indicated independent samples and ideal model.
      Conclusions  Journal evaluation is not only related to citations and impact factors, but also needs to take into account various indicators of the source of the article.Through the analysis of the evaluation index, it is found that encouraging paper cooperation and fund support, paying attention to the quality and quantity of article citations and expanding high-quality manuscript sources for the whole country have positive significance to improve the comprehensive level of medical university journals.

       

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