舌下微循环变化率对脓毒性休克病人预后的预测价值

    Predictive value of sublingual microcirculation variability in prognosis of patients with septic shock

    • 摘要: 目的:评估舌下微循环指标变化率对脓毒性休克病人预后的预测价值。方法:回顾性收集脓毒性休克病人64例,依据治疗后28 d不同结局分为死亡组(n=23)和生存组(n=41)。按集束化治疗方案6-hour bundle给予相应治疗及早期液体复苏。观察并记录复苏前及复苏6 h后平均动脉压(MAP)、末梢充盈时间、中心静脉血氧饱和度(ScvO2)、中心静脉-动脉血二氧化碳分压差P(v-a)CO2、液体正平衡总量、乳酸清除率、PaO2/FiO2及舌下微循环各项指标6 h变化。结果:6 h乳酸清除率、灌注血管密度(PVD)和灌注血管比例(PPV)变化率生存组高于死亡组,乳酸浓度低于死亡组,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05~P<0.01);乳酸清除率对28 d存活率的预测价值最高,曲线下面积为0.941,敏感性为82.9%,特异性为96.7%,最佳临界值为57.00%;其次为PPV变化率,曲线下面积为0.789,敏感性为68.3%,特异性为82.6%,最佳临界值为2.8%,复苏6 h的PVD曲线下面积为0.649,敏感性为73.2%,特异性为56.5%,最佳临界值为8.87%。结论:乳酸清除率、PPV变化率及PVD指标能较敏感地反映微循环改善情况,并对脓毒性休克病人预后具有良好的预测价值。

       

      Abstract: Objective: To evaluate the predictive value of the change rate of sublingual microcirculation indexes on the prognosis of patients with septic shock. Methods: A total of 64 patients with septic shock were retrospectively collected,and divided into death group (n=23) and survival group (n=41) according to different outcomes 28 days after treatment.Treatment and early fluid resuscitation were given according to the 6-hour bundle regimen.MAP,terminal filling time,ScvO2,P(v-a)CO2,total positive balance of liquid,lactic acid clearance,PaO2/FiO2 and sublingual microcirculation before and after 6 h of resuscitation were observed and recorded. Results: The 6-hour lactatic acid clearance,PVD and PPV change rates were higher in the survival group than those in the death group,and the lactatic acid concentration was lower than that in the death group,and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05 to P<0.01).Lactic acid clearance had the highest predictive value for 28-day survival,with an area under the curve of 0.941,a sensitivity of 82.9%,a specificity of 96.7%,and an optimal cut-off value of 57.00%.The next was the PPV change rate,with an area under the curve of 0.789,a sensitivity of 68.3%,a specificity of 82.6%,an optimal cut-off value of 2.8%,and an area under the PVD curve of 0.649 for 6 h of resuscitation,a sensitivity of 73.2%,a specificity of 56.5%,and an optimal cut-off value of 8.87%. Conclusions: Lactatic acid clearance,PPV change rate and PVD indexes can sensitively reflect the improvement of microcirculation,and have predictive value for the prognosis of patients with septic shock.

       

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