基于CT影像特征的诺莫图模型构建在小细胞肺癌与非小细胞肺癌鉴别诊断中的应用价值

    Application value of nomogram model based on CT image features in differential diagnosis of small cell lung cancer and non-small cell lung cancer

    • 摘要:
      目的 探讨基于CT影像特征构建诺莫图模型对小细胞肺癌(SCLC)与非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)的鉴别诊断价值。
      方法 回顾性收集120例肺癌病人的影像资料,其中SCLC 39例、NSCLC 81例,按照7∶3的比例将数据随机分为训练集及验证集。采用单因素及多因素logistic回归分析筛选独立影响因素,并构建诺莫图模型。应用倾向性评分匹配(PSM)按1∶1匹配37例NSCLC病人为对照组,并比较2组病人PSM匹配后的一般临床资料及影像特征差异。应用受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线、校正曲线、Hosmer-Lemeshow检验和临床决策曲线(DCA)对模型进行性能评估。
      结果 单因素分析结果显示,NSCLC组病灶直径>3 cm、深分叶征、细长毛刺征、坏死空洞征及空泡征均明显多于SCLC组(P<0.05),SCLC组CEA水平明显高于NSCLC组(P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析结果显示,模型训练集及验证集的AUC值分别为0.838、0.820,其敏感性、特异性分别为86.50%、80.25%和84.37%、79.88%。Hosmer-Lemeshow检验结果显示模型的拟合良好且训练集及验证集校准曲线均与理想曲线接近,表明模型具有较好的预测精度。训练集及验证集DCA分析均表明诺莫图模型在鉴别SCLC与NSCLC临床应用上具有良好的净获益。PSM匹配后经单因素分析显示,NSCLC组病灶直径>3 cm、坏死空洞及深分叶征占比仍多于SCLC组(P<0.05)。
      结论 基于CT影像特征构建诺莫图模型在鉴别SCLC与NSCLC方面具有一定的准确率、校准度和区分度,为临床制定针对性个性化治疗方案提供参考依据。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective To investigate the value of constructing nomogram model based on CT image features in the differential diagnosis of small cell lung cancer(SCLC) and non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC).
      Methods The imaging data of 120 lung cancer patients(including 39 cases of SCLC and 81 cases of NSCLC) were retrospectively analyzed, and randomly divided into the training set and validation set in the ratio of 7∶3.The univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to screen for the independent influencing factors, and a nomogram model was constructed.Propensity score matching(PSM) was applied to match 37 NSCLC patients as the control group on a 1∶1 basis, and the general clinical data and imaging characteristics between two groups were compared after PSM matching.The performance of the model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves, calibration curves, Hosmer-Lemeshow test and clinical decision curve analysis(DCA).
      Results The results of univariate analysis showed that the lesion diameters >3 cm, deep lobulation signs, elongated burr signs, necrotic cavity signs, and vacuole signs in the NSCLC group were more than those in SCLC group(P < 0.05), and the level of CEA in the SCLC group was significantly higher than that in NSCLC group(P < 0.05).The results of ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC values of the training set and validation set of the model were 0.838 and 0.820, respectively, and its sensitivity and specificity were 86.50%, 80.25% and 84.37%, 79.88%, respectively.The results of Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the model was well fitted, and the calibration curves of the training set and validation set were close to the ideal curves, which indicated that the model had a better prediction accuracy.The DCA analysis of the training set and validation set indicated that the nomogram model had a good net benefit in discriminating SCLC from NSCLC in clinical applications.After PSM matching, the results of univariate analysis showed that the percentage of lesions >3 cm in diameter, necrotic cavities, and deep lobular signs in the NSCLC group were more than those in SCLC group(P < 0.05).
      Conclusions The construction of nomogram model based on CT image features has certain accuracy, calibration and differentiation in identifying SCLC and NSCLC, which provides a reference basis for clinical development of targeted personalized treatment plans.

       

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