血浆Dickkopf-1与急性脑梗死静脉溶栓病人短期预后的相关性

    Study on the correlation between plasma Dickkopf-1 and short-term prognosis in patients with acute cerebral infarction with intravenous thrombolysis

    • 摘要:
      目的 探讨血浆Dickkopf-1水平与急性脑梗死短期预后之间的关系。
      方法 纳入2021年11月至2023年12月急性脑梗死静脉溶栓病人232例病人的临床资料,通过发病3个月时mRS评分≥3分和0~2分将病人分为预后不良(97例)和预后良好组(135例),比较2组的临床资料,利用多变量logistic回归分析确定静脉溶栓后临床转归的独立危险因素。
      结果 在232例病人中,年龄(65.91±12.37)岁;男160例(68.97%),女72例(31.03%);基线NIHSS评分中位数为6分;2组年龄、心房颤动史、TOAST分型、基线NIHSS评分、PT、血浆Dickkopf-1水平之间的差异有统计学意义。将临床转归作为因变量,年龄、心房颤动史、TOAST分型、基线NIHSS评分、PT、血浆Dickkopf-1水平作为自变量,进行多变量logistic回归分析,结果显示年龄、基线NIHSS评分较高、血浆Dickkopf-1水平为急性脑梗死短期预后不良的独立危险因素。基于上述变量构建预测模型的列线图,采用Bootstrap 1 000次重抽样结果计算出的C指数为0.979,校准曲线显示预测概率和实际结果一致性良好。
      结论 血浆Dickkopf-1水平对急性脑梗死短期预后具有一定的预测价值。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective To investigate the relationship between plasma Dickkopf-1 level and short-term prognosis of acute cerebral infarction patients.
      Methods The clinical data of 232 patients with acute cerebral infarction treated with intravenous thrombolysis from November 2021 to December 2023 were collected. The patients were divided into the poor prognosis group (97 cases) and good prognosis group (135 cases) according to the mRS Score ≥3 points and 0-2 points at 3 months of onset. The clinical data between two groups were compared. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the independent risk factors of clinical outcomes after intravenous thrombolysis.
      Results Among 232 patients, the age was (65.91±12.37) years. There were 160 males (68.97%) and 72 females (31.03%). The median baseline NIHSS score was 6 points. There were statistical significances in the age, history of atrial fibrillation, TOAST classification, baseline NIHSS score, PT and plasma Dickkopf-1 level between two groups. The clinical outcomes were taken as the dependent variables, and the age, history of atrial fibrillation, TOAST classification, baseline NIHSS score, PT and plasma Dickkopf-1 level were taken as the independent variables to perform multivariate logistic regression analysis. The results showed that the age, high baseline NIHSS score and plasma Dickkopf-1 level were the independent risk factors of poor short-term prognosis of acute cerebral infarction patients. A nomogram of the prediction model was constructed based on the above variables. The C-index calculated by Bootstrap with 1 000 resamples results was 0.979, and the calibration curve showed that the prediction probability was in good agreement with the actual result.
      Conclusions Plasma Dickkopf-1 level can predict the short-term prognosis of acute cerebral infarction.

       

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