重症发热伴血小板减少综合征死亡危险因素分析

    Analysis of the risk factors for death of severe fevercomplicated with thrombocytopenia syndrome

    • 摘要:
      目的: 探究重症发热伴血小板减少综合征(SFTS)病人的死亡危险因素,为临床治疗提供依据。
      方法: 分析2020—2023年安庆市立医院确诊的重症SFTS病人,收集一般资料、临床特征以及住院期间最严重的实验室指标,根据预后分为存活组(n = 91)及死亡组(n = 33),采用统计学方法进行分析。
      结果: 多因素logistic回归分析得出2组病人在年龄、神经系统异常、活化部分凝血活酶时间、乳酸、病毒载量、血小板(<10 × 109/L)差异具有统计学意义,绘制受试者工作特征工作曲线,计算曲线下面积及95%CI,结果显示,年龄为0.675(0.563~0.786),活化部分凝血活酶时间为0.870(0.801~0.940),乳酸为0.784(0.684~0.884),病毒载量为0.860(0.782~0.937)。
      结论: 年龄、神经系统异常、活化部分凝血活酶时间、乳酸、病毒载量、血小板(<10 × 109/L)是影响重症SFTS病人死亡的危险因素。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective To explore the risk factors for mortality in patients with severe fever complicated with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS), and provide evidence for clinical treatment.
      Methods The patients with severe SFTS diagnosed in the Department of Infectious Diseases of Anqing Municipal Hospital from 2020 to 2023 were analyzed, and the general data, clinical characteristics and most severe laboratory indicators during hospitalization were collected. The patents were divided into the survival group (n = 91) and death group (n = 33) according to prognosis.
      Results The results of multivariate regression analysis showed that there were statistically significant in the age, neurological abnormalities, activated partial thromboplastin time, lactate, viral load and PLT (<10 × 109/L) between two groups (P < 0.05). The ROC curve was plotted, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated. The AUC of age was 0.675, 95%CI (0.563–0.786), the AUC of APTT was 0.87095%CI (0.801–0.940), the AUC of Lac was 0.78495%CI (0.684–0.884), and the AUC of viral loading was 0.86095%CI (0.782–0.937).
      Conclusions The age, neurological abnormalities, activated partial thromboplastin time, lactate, viral load and PLT (<10 × 109/L) are the risk factors of mortality in severe SFTS patients.

       

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