NLR联合HNL评估脓毒血症病人病情严重程度及预后的价值研究

    Value of NLR combined with HNL in evaluating the severity and prognosis of sepsis patients

    • 摘要:
      目的: 探讨中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)联合中性粒细胞载脂蛋白(HNL)对脓毒血症病人病情严重程度及预后的评估价值。
      方法: 选取70例脓毒血症病人,按照病情严重程度分为轻度脓毒血症组36例、重度脓毒血症组25例、脓毒血症休克组9例,并根据病人发病入院后28 d内临床结局分为死亡组16例和生存组54例。采用Pearson法分析脓毒血症病人NLR和HNL水平的相关性;采用logistic回归分析评价影响脓毒血症病人预后状态的相关因素;使用ROC曲线分析NLR和HNL对脓毒血症病人预后状态的预测效能。
      结果: 脓毒血症休克组病人NLR高于轻度脓毒血症组(P < 0.05);重度脓毒血症组、脓毒血症休克组病人HNL水平高于轻度脓毒血症组(P < 0.05),脓毒血症休克组病人HNL水平高于重度脓毒血症组(P < 0.05)。死亡组病人NLR和HNL水平均高于生存组(P < 0.05和P < 0.01),2组红细胞分布宽度、血小板分布宽度、血小板计数差异均有统计学意义(P < 0.01)。Pearson相关分析结果显示,脓毒血症病人NLR与HNL水平呈正相关关系(r = 0.708,P < 0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析结果显示,红细胞分布宽度≥16%、血小板分布宽度≥22 fl、NLR和HNL升高均为脓毒血症病人死亡的危险因素(P < 0.05 ~ P < 0.01),而血小板计数≥150 × 109/L为保护因素(P < 0.05)。ROC曲线分析结果显示,NLR和HNL单独检测预测脓毒血症病人预后死亡的AUC分别为0.642、0.769,二者联合预测的AUC为0.887,优于NLR和HNL各自单独预测(Z = 2.47、1.98,P < 0.05)。
      结论: NLR和HNL水平升高均对脓毒血症病情的发展起到促进作用,二者联合检测对脓毒血症病人的预后状态具有较高的预测价值。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective To explore the value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) combined with human neutrophil lipocalin (HNL) in evaluating the severity and prognosis of sepsis patients.
      Methods A total of 70 patients with sepsis were selected and divided into mild sepsis group (n = 36), severe sepsis group (n = 25), and sepsis shock group (n = 9) according to the severity of disease. The patients were further divided into death group (n = 16) and survival group (n = 54) based on their clinical outcomes within 28 days after admission. Pearson method was used to analyze the correlation between NLR and HNL levels in sepsis patients; logistic regression analysis was applied to evaluate the relevant factors affecting the prognosis of sepsis patients; ROC curve analysis was employed to analyze the predictive efficacy of NLR and HNL for the prognosis of sepsis patients.
      Results The NLR of patients in the sepsis shock group was higher than that in the mild sepsis group (P < 0.05); the HNL levels of patients in the severe sepsis group and sepsis shock group were higher than those in the mild sepsis group (P < 0.05), and the HNL levels of patients in the sepsis shock group were higher than those in the severe sepsis group (P < 0.05). The NLR and HNL levels of patients in the death group were higher than those in the survival group (P < 0.05 and P < 0.01), and the differences of red blood cell distribution width, platelet distribution width, and platelet count between the two groups were statistically significant (P < 0.01). The results of Pearson correlation analysis showed that NLR was positively correlated with HNL levels in sepsis patients (r = 0.708, P < 0.05). The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that red blood cell distribution width ≥16%, platelet distribution width ≥22 fl, and elevated NLR and HNL levels were all risk factors for death in sepsis patients (P < 0.05 to P < 0.01), while platelet count ≥150 × 109/L was the protective factor (P < 0.05). The results of ROC curve analysis found that the AUC of NLR and HNL independently predicting prognosis and death of sepsis patients were 0.642 and 0.769, respectively, and the AUC predicted by the combination of the two was 0.887, which was better than that predicted by NLR and HNL independently (Z = 2.47, 1.98, P < 0.05).
      Conclusions The increase of NLR and HNL levels can promote the development of sepsis, and the combined detection of NLR and HNL has high predictive value for the prognosis of sepsis patients.

       

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