术前NLR、PLR、LMR及SII对结直肠癌根治性切除术后复发的预测价值

    Predictive value of preoperative NLR, PLR, LMR, and SII for recurrence after radical resection of colorectal cancer

    • 摘要:
      目的: 分析术前NLR、PLR、LMR及SII对结直肠癌根治性切除术后复发的预测价值。
      方法: 纳入150例行结直肠癌根治性切除术病人,术后随访3年,按复发情况分为复发组(n = 42)和未复发组(n = 108)。测定术前中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)、淋巴细胞与单核细胞比值(LMR)、系统免疫炎症指数(SII),通过ROC曲线评估上述指标对结直肠癌根治性切除术后复发的预测价值。
      结果: 相较于未复发组,复发组术前NLR、PLR、SII水平均升高,LMR水平降低(P < 0.01)。多因素logistic回归分析显示NLR OR = 7.079(95%CI:1.269 ~ 39.497)、PLR OR = 1.059(95%CI:1.021 ~ 1.103)、SII OR = 1.006(95%CI:1.001 ~ 1.012)为复发危险因素。ROC曲线分析结果显示,4种指标联合预测的AUC为0.927,高于NLR、PLR、LMR及SII单一指标的0.820、 0.800、0.756、0.818。
      结论: 术前NLR、PLR、LMR及SII值对结直肠癌根治性切除术后复发具有较高预测价值。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective To investigate the predictive value of preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) for postoperative recurrence after radical resection of colorectal cancer.
      Methods A total of 150 patients who underwent radical resection for colorectal cancer were enrolled and followed up for 3 years. They were divided into the recurrence group (n = 42) and the non-recurrence group (n = 108) based on recurrence status. Preoperative NLR, PLR, LMR and SII were measured. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the predictive value of these indicators for postoperative recurrence after radical resection of colorectal cancer.
      Results Compared with the non-recurrence group, the recurrence group exhibited significantly elevated preoperative NLR, PLR and SII levels, and decreased LMR level (P < 0.01). Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that NLR OR = 7.079, 95%CI: 1.269–39.497, PLR OR = 1.059, 95%CI: 1.021–1.103 and SII OR = 1.006, 95%CI: 1.001–1.012 were independent risk factors for recurrence. The results of ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of the combined four indicators for predicting recurrence was 0.927, which was higher than that of single indicators NLR (0.820), PLR (0.800), LMR (0.756) and SII (0.818).
      Conclusions Preoperative NLR, PLR, LMR and SII have high predictive value for postoperative recurrence after radical resection of colorectal cancer.

       

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